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Scores

Signal indices

Each 0–100 score is built from the current results. Every card shows the score and what's driving it.

high

Actor Imbalance

79
index
0.1x RSF/SAF

Tracks whether SAF and RSF mentions are balanced or dominated by one side.

381 Rapid Support Forces mentions
3.3K Sudanese Armed Forces mentions
79% imbalance between the two main actors
elevated

Attention Distortion

62
index
62-point platform gap

Flags when the platform getting engagement is not the platform carrying most mentions.

instagram has 2% of mentions
instagram has 64% of engagement
Treat viral posts as a sign of attention, not of overall volume
watch

Narrative Concentration

26
index
38% in top two campaigns

Whether attention is spread across campaigns or concentrated in just a few.

Eastern, Northern & Port Sudan: 19.4%
Atrocities, Famine & Humanitarian Crisis: 19%
Sudanese Armed Forces: 3.3K mentions
watch

Civilian Harm Pressure

14
index
3% harm-keyword density

Combines overall negativity with atrocity, humanitarian, Darfur, and Kordofan keywords.

11% of all mentions are negative
1480 harm and frontline keywords across the current feed
13% peak negativity in humanitarian/Darfur campaigns
watch

Warfront Pressure

13
index
12% frontline-keyword density

Measures whether the feed is centered on armed actors and active fronts.

6.5K war-campaign mentions
381 RSF and 3.3K SAF mentions
1.5K Kordofan mentions
watch

Foreign-Actor Pressure

13
index
9.7% politics share

Shows how much the conversation is being pulled into diplomacy and outside-power framing.

4.1K politics/diplomacy mentions
600 foreign-actor mentions
Foreign-actor mentions are 18% of the top keyword cluster
watch

Coverage Blind Spot

11
index
1 quiet platforms

How much of what Sudan Watch tracks has no matching posts in the current window.

1 of 7 tracked platforms are quiet
0 of 10 campaigns are quiet
A quiet platform is a coverage gap, not a sign the topic is unimportant
watch

Spike Velocity

0
index
0.1x prior avg

How the most recent day compares with the average of the days before it.

32 mentions in the latest day
540 average mentions before that
A short history can overstate momentum until more days build up
Method

How the scores are built

These are rough indicators, not measurements of the conflict itself. They show where attention and pressure concentrate in the current window.

Actor Imbalance
79 / 100

Absolute RSF–SAF mention gap divided by total RSF + SAF mentions

  • 381 Rapid Support Forces mentions
  • 3.3K Sudanese Armed Forces mentions
  • 79% imbalance between the two main actors
Attention Distortion
62 / 100

Absolute gap between the top engagement platform share and its mention share

  • instagram has 2% of mentions
  • instagram has 64% of engagement
  • Treat viral posts as a sign of attention, not of overall volume
Narrative Concentration
26 / 100

60% top-two campaign share + 40% top-keyword share

  • Eastern, Northern & Port Sudan: 19.4%
  • Atrocities, Famine & Humanitarian Crisis: 19%
  • Sudanese Armed Forces: 3.3K mentions
Civilian Harm Pressure
14 / 100

50% overall negativity + 35% harm-keyword density + 15% peak harm-campaign negativity

  • 11% of all mentions are negative
  • 1480 harm and frontline keywords across the current feed
  • 13% peak negativity in humanitarian/Darfur campaigns
Warfront Pressure
13 / 100

35% war-campaign share + 65% armed-actor/frontline keyword density

  • 6.5K war-campaign mentions
  • 381 RSF and 3.3K SAF mentions
  • 1.5K Kordofan mentions
Foreign-Actor Pressure
13 / 100

65% politics-campaign share + 35% foreign-keyword strength vs the top keyword cluster

  • 4.1K politics/diplomacy mentions
  • 600 foreign-actor mentions
  • Foreign-actor mentions are 18% of the top keyword cluster
Coverage Blind Spot
11 / 100

80% quiet-platform share + 20% quiet-campaign share

  • 1 of 7 tracked platforms are quiet
  • 0 of 10 campaigns are quiet
  • A quiet platform is a coverage gap, not a sign the topic is unimportant
Spike Velocity
0 / 100

Log-scaled latest daily volume compared with the prior daily average

  • 32 mentions in the latest day
  • 540 average mentions before that
  • A short history can overstate momentum until more days build up